Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.290278e-05 3.896227e-05 0.000045 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000081
2025-05-25 2.301712e-05 3.058177e-05 0.000039 0.000050 0.000063 0.000078 0.000095
2025-06-01 1.691936e-05 2.505389e-05 0.000035 0.000048 0.000065 0.000085 0.000109
2025-06-08 1.318241e-05 2.159816e-05 0.000033 0.000048 0.000068 0.000093 0.000125
2025-06-15 1.031752e-05 1.868871e-05 0.000031 0.000048 0.000071 0.000100 0.000138
2025-06-22 7.828236e-06 1.578496e-05 0.000028 0.000046 0.000071 0.000104 0.000149
2025-06-29 5.758889e-06 1.306180e-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000070 0.000107 0.000157
2025-07-06 4.116596e-06 1.064239e-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000069 0.000108 0.000163
2025-07-13 3.144541e-06 9.189857e-06 0.000020 0.000040 0.000070 0.000112 0.000173
2025-07-20 2.457986e-06 8.114764e-06 0.000019 0.000039 0.000071 0.000117 0.000185
2025-07-27 2.008739e-06 7.427280e-06 0.000019 0.000040 0.000074 0.000124 0.000199
2025-08-03 1.969490e-06 7.717437e-06 0.000020 0.000043 0.000082 0.000138 0.000223
2025-08-10 1.539361e-06 7.007168e-06 0.000020 0.000044 0.000086 0.000149 0.000244
2025-08-17 9.314439e-07 5.474458e-06 0.000017 0.000042 0.000085 0.000151 0.000254
2025-08-24 5.682678e-07 4.407342e-06 0.000015 0.000040 0.000085 0.000155 0.000266
2025-08-31 3.685915e-07 3.751903e-06 0.000014 0.000040 0.000087 0.000163 0.000284
2025-09-07 2.239803e-07 3.150649e-06 0.000014 0.000039 0.000089 0.000170 0.000301
2025-09-14 1.134154e-07 2.502187e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000089 0.000174 0.000313
2025-09-21 4.494072e-08 1.890959e-06 0.000011 0.000036 0.000087 0.000175 0.000322
2025-09-28 1.214176e-08 1.368915e-06 0.000009 0.000033 0.000085 0.000175 0.000328
2025-10-05 3.001510e-09 1.081957e-06 0.000008 0.000032 0.000085 0.000180 0.000342
2025-10-12 4.523293e-10 8.807519e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000087 0.000186 0.000358
2025-10-19 2.914787e-11 7.597369e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000090 0.000195 0.000379